Investment Decisions and Long-Term Planning Under Electricity Spot Pricing
Investment Decisions and Long-Term Planning Under Electricity Spot Pricing
复制标题
电力现货定价下的投资决策和长期规划
DOI：
10.1109/tpas.1982.317321
复制
发表时间：
1982
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Caramanis
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Caramanis
本文是之前关于电力最优现货定价研究的后续工作[3]。考虑了电力公用事业行业的长期规划问题，因为它涉及采用社会最优现货定价。得出最佳投资条件，并开发出一种算法，可以将这些条件整合到长期规划中。该算法是Bootht-aleriaux概率生产成本法的扩展，因此具有较高的计算效率。它为将现货定价纳入目前用于发电扩展规划研究的许多数学程序方法提供了基础。还讨论了该算法在产生最佳现货价格预测方面的有用性，该预测可能会引发对非公用事业所有发电的社会有效投资，并促进对现货价格实施对收入分配影响的实证研究。
This paper is a follow-up of previous work on optimal spot pricing of electricity [3]. The issue of long-term planning in the electric utility industry as it relates to the adoption of socially optimal spot pricing is considered. Optimal investment conditions are derived and an algorithm is developed which allows integration of these conditions into long-term planning. The proposed algorithm is an extensionl of Bootht-aleriaux probabilistic production costingand thus exhibits high computational efficiency. It provides the building block forincorporating spot pricing into a number of mathematical programminaf methodologies currently used in generation expansion planning studies. The algorithm's usefulness to produce optimal spot price forecasts that may induce socially efficient investments in non-utility-owned generation and to facilitate empirical studies on the income distributional impact of spot price implementation is also discussed.