Unemployment Fluctuations in the United States: Further Tests of the Sectoral-Shifts Hypothesis
Unemployment Fluctuations in the United States: Further Tests of the Sectoral-Shifts Hypothesis
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美国的失业率波动：部门转移假说的进一步检验
DOI：
10.2307/2109866
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发表时间：
1995
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Athina Zervoyianni
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Mills;G. Pelloni;Athina Zervoyianni
本文通过考察美国1960年至1991年期间的失业波动，进一步证明了部门转变的重要性，并在三个方向上扩展了以前的研究：首先，使用季度非农业就业的30个行业分解；第二，采用现代时间序列计量经济学技术；第三，通过使用消除货币和总需求影响的分散措施。作者的研究结果支持了这样一种观点，即行业变化是美国就业波动的一个重要因素，同时也表明，在经济低迷时期，一定程度的分散与失业率高于经济复苏时期的失业率有关。麻省理工学院出版社1995年版权所有。
This paper presents further evidence on the importance of sectoral shifts by examining unemployment fluctuations in the United States over the period 1960 to 1991, extending previous research in three directions: first, by using a thirty-industry decomposition of quarterly nonagricultural employment; second, by employing modern time-series econometric techniques; and third, by using dispersion measures purged of both monetary and aggregate demand influences. The authors' findings support the view that sectoral shifts have been an important element of fluctuations in U.S. employment and also indicate that a given amount of dispersion has been associated with more unemployment during downturns than upturns. Copyright 1995 by MIT Press.