Global Zero Emission Scenario: Role of Innovative Technologies☆
Global Zero Emission Scenario: Role of Innovative Technologies☆
复制标题
全球零排放情景：创新技术的作用☆
DOI：
10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.930
复制
发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
T. Tezuka
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
K. Tokimatsu;S. Konishi;K. Ishihara;T. Tezuka
与现有的各种研究相比，本研究调查了零排放情景，具有以下两个独创性。一是我们基于IPCC（政府间气候变化专门委员会）的SRES（排放情景特别报告）的A1T学会与现有的B1或B2研究进行比较。第二个是考虑并融合了各种创新和激进的技术，例如采用CCS的生物质能源（BECCS），以及包括氢气或合成燃料生产在内的先进核技术。我们应用了全局模型，其能源、材料、生物质和食品供应成本通过线性规划最小化，时间范围直至2150年。我们发现A1T情景下的能源供应结构具有以下特征。由于2100年A1T情景中的电力需求是其他情景的两倍，1）仅通过CCS（FECCS）生产电力、核能和化石能源的可再生能源，特别是煤炭是主要电力来源，2）可以供热的可再生能源，即BECCS和地热能，满足了该行业的需求，3）交通运输行业引入了煤炭制氢。可以得出的结论是，通过开发和部署雄心勃勃的先进能源技术，随着全球经济增长而建立的零排放能源系统将成为可能。
This study investigated a zero emission scenario with following two originalities compared to various existing studies. One is that we based on A1T society of SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenario) of IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) compared to existing studies on those of B1 or B2. The second one is that various innovative and radical technologies were considered and incorporated, such as biomass energy with CCS (BECCS), and advanced nuclear technologies including hydrogen or synfuel production. We applied a global modeling, whose energies, materials, and biomass and foods supply costs were minimized by linear programing with time horizon up to 2150. We found following features of energy supply structure in A1T scenario. Since the electric demand in A1T scenario in 2100 is two times larger than the others, 1) renewable energy which solely produce electricity, nuclear, and fossil energy with CCS (FECCS) especially coal are main sources of electricity, 2) renewable which can supply heat, namely BECCS and geothermal, satisfies the sector, and 3) hydrogen from coal is introduced in transport sector. It can be concluded that the zero emission energy systems with global economic growth will be possible, by development and deployment of ambitious advanced energy technologies.