Affordability for sustainable energy development products

Affordability for sustainable energy development products
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可持续能源开发产品的可承受性

DOI:
10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.06.050
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发表时间:
2014
期刊:
影响因子:
11.2
通讯作者:
Riley P
Riley P
中科院分区:
工程技术1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Riley P

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清洁燃烧产品,例如烹饪炉具,可以减少家庭空气污染(HAP),家庭空气污染每年过早导致350万人死亡。通过仔细选择用于资本支付的带有小额信贷的产品包中的组件,降低了大规模采用去除HAP的产品的障碍。这些产品减少了烹饪产生的烟雾和产生的电力照明,消除了煤油灯产生的烟雾。已经开发了一种自下而上的金融模式,该模式认识到最终用户的社会需求,以比较发展中国家农村地区使用的不同产品。该模型可供研究人员免费使用,并有能力帮助分析不断变化的假设。展示了单个村民、村庄本身和乡村景观的商业观点。该模型表明,可负担性(定义为购买产品对家庭支出的影响)和对最终用户社会需求的认识与产品成本一样重要。描述了大规模部署的影响(每年超过1000万),以及最贫穷人口所需的补贴水平。在所给出的假设条件下,该模型显示,微微水电是最具成本效益的,但不是普遍可用的,有一种热声技术选择不需要补贴,但它只处于技术准备级别2(NASA的定义),因此对成本进行了预测,并需要对制造能力进行大量投资才能实现成本目标。热电是目前唯一一项可以在全球范围内一年中每天使用的技术,而且无需研究就可以使用。然而,它还不是自给自足的,因此需要补贴或转移更多的家庭收入才能负担得起。在大多数日子里太阳辐射充足的地区,光伏和清洁炉灶的组合可能是合适的。可负担性在很大程度上取决于可从碳信用中获得的收入。
Clean burning products, for example cooking stoves, can reduce household air pollution (HAP), which prematurely kills 3.5 million people each year. By careful selection of components into a product package with micro-finance used for the capital payment, barriers to large-scale uptake of products that remove HAP are reduced. Such products reduce smoke from cooking and the lighting from electricity produced, eliminates smoke from kerosene lamps. A bottom-up financial model, that is cognisant of end user social needs, has been developed to compare different products for use in rural areas of developing countries. The model is freely available for use by researchers and has the ability to assist in the analysis of changing assumptions. Business views of an individual villager, the village itself and a country view are presented. The model shows that affordability (defined as the effect on household expenses as a result of a product purchase) and recognition of end-user social needs are as important as product cost. The effects of large-scale deployment (greater that 10 million per year) are described together with level of subsidy required by the poorest people. With the assumptions given, the model shows that pico-hydro is the most cost effective, but not generally available, one thermo-acoustic technology option does not require subsidy, but it is only at technology readiness level 2 (NASA definition) therefore costs are predicted and very large investment in manufacturing capability is needed to meet the cost target. Thermo-electric is currently the only technology that can be used worldwide every day of the year and is available without research. However, it is not yet self-financing and therefore requires subsidy or diversion of more household income to be affordable. A combination of photovoltaic and clean cookstove may be suitable in areas where sufficient solar radiation is available on most days. Affordability is shown to be highly dependent on the income that can be derived from carbon credits.
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DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61766-8
发表时间: 2012-12-15
期刊: LANCET
影响因子: 168.9
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