How to Win in Iraq
How to Win in Iraq
复制标题
如何在伊拉克获胜
DOI：
10.2307/20031708
复制
发表时间：
2005
期刊：
影响因子：
7.5
通讯作者：
A. Krepinevich
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Krepinevich
尽管布什政府一再宣称要在伊拉克取得成功，但目前的政策结果并不令人鼓舞。两年后，华盛顿在击败叛乱或为伊拉克人提供安全方面几乎没有取得进展，尽管它已经过度扩张了美国军队，并削弱了美国公众对战争的支持。尽管现在退出是一个错误，但从目前的所有迹象来看，仅仅“坚持到底”也不会改善问题。在伊拉克取得胜利需要一种新的方法。基本问题是，美国及其联盟成员从未就击败叛乱和实现更广泛目标的战略达成一致。在政治方面，他们一直在努力建立一个民主的伊拉克，但这是一个目标，而不是一个战略。在军事方面，他们试图训练伊拉克安全部队，并将战争移交给他们。作为总统乔治·W·布什。布什说：“我们的战略可以这样概括：伊拉克人站起来，我们就站起来。“但总统描述的是一个撤军计划，而不是一个战略。此外，如果没有一个明确的伊拉克战略，就没有好的方法来衡量进展。因此，高级政治和军事领导人一再发表过于乐观甚至相互矛盾的声明。例如，2004年5月，在叛乱分子接管了
DESPITE THE Bush administration's repeated declarations of its commitment to success in Iraq, the results of current policy there are not encouraging. After two years, Washington has made little progress in defeating the insurgency or providing security for Iraqis, even as it has overextended the U.S. Army and eroded support for the war among the American public. Although withdrawing now would be a mistake, simply "staying the course," by all current indications, will not improve matters either. Winning in Iraq will require a new approach. The basic problem is that the United States and its coalition part ners have never settled on a strategy for defeating the insurgency and achieving their broader objectives. On the political front, they have been working to create a democratic Iraq, but that is a goal, not a strat egy. On the military front, they have sought to train Iraqi security forces and turn the war over to them. As President George W. Bush has stated, "Our strategy can be summed up this way: as the Iraqis stand up, we will stand down." But the president is describing a withdrawal plan rather than a strategy. Without a clear strategy in Iraq, moreover, there is no good way to gauge progress. Senior political and military leaders have thus repeatedly made overly optimistic or even contradictory declarations. In May of 2004, for example, following the insurgent takeover of