Estimating the Number of People Who Inject Drugs, Female Sex Workers, and Men Who Have Sex with Men, Unguja Island, Zanzibar: Results and Synthesis of Multiple Methods
Estimating the Number of People Who Inject Drugs, Female Sex Workers, and Men Who Have Sex with Men, Unguja Island, Zanzibar: Results and Synthesis of Multiple Methods
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DOI：
10.1007/s10461-013-0517-x
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发表时间：
2014-01-01
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
Dahoma, Mohammed J. U.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Khalid, Farhat J.;Hamad, Fatma M.;Dahoma, Mohammed J. U.
为了确定2011/2012年生活在桑给巴尔昂古贾岛的注射毒品者（PWID）、女性性工作者（FSW）和男男性行为者（MSM）的数量，我们采用了几种实用的人口规模估计方法，包括文献综述、独特对象乘数、2007年调查的再捕获、人群智慧和服务乘数。我们综合了研究结果，并将其提交给一个专家小组，以确定每个人群的合理估计。一个专家小组认为最可信的估计数是：PWID为3 000人，FSW为3 958人，MSM为2 157人。我们了解到，没有一种方法可以被认为是所有三个人群的标准。我们发现的估计数虽然还不完美，但对为这些人群服务的艾滋病毒方案是有用的。
To determine the number of people who inject drugs (PWID), female sex workers (FSW) and men who have sex with men (MSM) living in Unguja Island, Zanzibar in 2011/2012, we applied several, practical population size estimation methods including literature review, unique object multiplier, recapture from the 2007 survey, wisdom of the crowds and service multiplier. We synthesized findings and presented them to a panel of experts in order to determine plausible estimates for each population. The estimates adopted by a panel of experts as being most plausible were 3,000 for PWID, 3,958 for FSW and 2,157 for MSM. We learned that no one method could be concluded to be the standard for all three populations. The estimates we found, though still not perfect, are useful for the HIV programmes serving these populations.