Together or Not? Dynamics of Public Attitudes on UN and NATO
Together or Not? Dynamics of Public Attitudes on UN and NATO
复制标题
在一起还是不在一起？
作者：
O. Kiratli
本研究调查的两个主要的政府间组织-联合国和北约的公众认可的驱动力。更具体地说，我仔细研究了两组独立变量对个人支持的安全政府间组织：受访者的主观评价国内经济条件和本国的外交政策偏好之间的差距差距的平均偏好内说，政府间组织。在实证分析中，我使用了皮尤全球态度调查（Pew Global Attitudes Survey）的横截面调查数据，涵盖了37个国家和2007-2017年的10次浪潮。统计分析为这两种假设提供了有力的支持。具体而言，对国家经济状况不满意的公民不太可能赞成政府间组织。对国内经济业绩的看法与对政府间组织的态度之间的负相关关系，在对政府间组织的预算捐款较多的国家中尤其引人注目。第二，在外交政策偏好与政府间组织其他成员一致的国家，公众舆论更倾向于该政府间组织。
This study investigates the driving forces of public endorsement of two major intergovernmental organizations—the UN and NATO. More specifically, I scrutinize the effects of two sets of independent variables on individual support for security intergovernmental organizations: respondents’ subjective evaluation of the domestic economic conditions and the gap between the home country’s foreign policy preferences and the mean preference within the said intergovernmental organization. For the empirical analysis, I employ cross-sectional survey data acquired from Pew Global Attitudes Surveys covering a sample of 37 countries and 10 waves spanning 2007–2017. The statistical analyses lend strong support for both hypotheses. Specifically, citizens who are dissatisfied with the national economic conditions are less likely to be in favor of intergovernmental organizations. The negative correlation between the perceptions of domestic economic performance and attitudes toward intergovernmental organizations is particularly compelling in countries that contribute more to the budget of that intergovernmental organization. Second, in countries where the foreign policy preferences converge with the other members of an intergovernmental organization, public opinion is more favorably disposed toward that intergovernmental organization.