Improving Decisions and Judgments The Desirable versus the Feasible
Improving Decisions and Judgments The Desirable versus the Feasible
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改善决策和判断 理想与可行
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发表时间：
1992
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通讯作者：
G. Keren
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
G. Keren
本章的目的是评估可以修改并最终改进决策和判断的条件和程度。然而，在作出这种评估之前，必须提出两个基本问题。在目前的情况下，一个明显的潜在假设是，决策并不总是完美的，因此并不总是导致预期的目标。第一个问题涉及元决策问题：一个人应该如何判断决策的质量？是否有可能定义和识别有缺陷和有缺陷的决策，在这样一个过程中应该使用什么标准？在本章的第一部分，我将简要地讨论决策科学中一个更基本的（同时也是最困难的）问题，即什么构成了一个好的或坏的决策，以及如何衡量和评估它。
The purpose of this chapter is to assess the conditions and the extent to which decisions and judgments can be modified, and eventually improved. Before such an assessment can be made, however, two basic questions have to be raised. An obvious underlying assumption in the present context is that decisions are not invariably perfect, and consequently do not always lead to the desired goals. The first question then concerns a metadecision question: How should one judge the quality of decisions? Is it possible to define and identify deficient and flawed decisions, and what criteria should be used in such a process? In the first part of this chapter I will briefly address one of the more fundamental (and at the same time one of the most difficult) questions in decision sciences, namely, what constitutes a good or a poor decision and how could it be measured and assessed.