Election Laws, Mobilization, and Turnout: The Unanticipated Consequences of Election Reform
Election Laws, Mobilization, and Turnout: The Unanticipated Consequences of Election Reform
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DOI：
10.1111/ajps.12063
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发表时间：
2014-01-01
影响因子：
4.2
通讯作者：
Moynihan, Donald P.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Burden, Barry C.;Canon, David T.;Moynihan, Donald P.
州政府已经试验了各种选举法，使投票更方便，提高投票率。这些改革的影响以令人惊讶的方式变化，让人们深入了解各州鼓励或减少投票率的机制。我们的理论侧重于动员，并区分选举法的直接和间接影响。我们对2004年和2008年总统选举的选民投票率进行了总体和个人层面的统计分析。结果表明，选举日登记对投票率有着持续的积极影响，而最受欢迎的改革早期投票实际上与较低的投票率有关，当它被单独实施时。我们认为，提前投票降低了选举对个人的公民意义，改变了政治运动投资于动员的动机，从而产生了意想不到的负面后果。
State governments have experimented with a variety of election laws to make voting more convenient and increase turnout. The impacts of these reforms vary in surprising ways, providing insight into the mechanisms by which states can encourage or reduce turnout. Our theory focuses on mobilization and distinguishes between the direct and indirect effects of election laws. We conduct both aggregate and individual-level statistical analyses of voter turnout in the 2004 and 2008 presidential elections. The results show that Election Day registration has a consistently positive effect on turnout, whereas the most popular reformearly votingis actually associated with lower turnout when it is implemented by itself. We propose that early voting has created negative unanticipated consequences by reducing the civic significance of elections for individuals and altering the incentives for political campaigns to invest in mobilization.