COVID-19 epidemic in Libya.
COVID-19 epidemic in Libya.
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DOI：
10.1080/19932820.2021.1871798
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发表时间：
2021-12
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Bakoush O
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bredan A;Bakoush O
2020 年 3 月 24 日，利比亚发现了第一例 COVID-19 病例，大约 2 个月后，报告的 COVID-19 病例数量开始显着增加。疫情首先在南部地区（塞卜哈）突出，然后蔓延到利比亚西部和东部地区。截至 2020 年 12 月 24 日，报告的 COVID-19 死亡总人数达到 1415 人。似乎没有关于利比亚疫情规模的公开数据。在这里，我们使用针对传染病传播的 COVID-19 死亡率调整数学模型估算了接触 COVID-19 的利比亚人数量。我们估计 14-20% 的利比亚人口曾感染过 COVID-19 大流行。因此，未来几个月COVID-19感染传播的风险很高，应保护相当多的利比亚人，特别是老年人和患有慢性病的人免受COVID-19感染。鉴于非官方报告称相关医疗机构面临极大压力，这一点尤为紧迫。
The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the coming months is high, and a considerable number of Libyans, particularly the elderly and people with chronic diseases, should be protected against COVID-19 infection. This is particularly urgent in the light of unofficial reports that the relevant healthcare facilities are under extreme stress.
影响因子：
158.5
作者：
Li, Qun;Guan, Xuhua;Feng, Zijian
通讯作者：
Feng, Zijian
影响因子：
7.4
作者：
Veiga e Silva, Lena;Harb, Maria Da Penha de Andrade Abi;Frances, Carlos Renato Lisboa
通讯作者：
Frances, Carlos Renato Lisboa
影响因子：
168.9
作者：
Wu, Joseph T.;Leung, Kathy;Leung, Gabriel M.
通讯作者：
Leung, Gabriel M.