On the quasi-stationary distribution of the stochastic logistic epidemic

On the quasi-stationary distribution of the stochastic logistic epidemic
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DOI:
10.1016/s0025-5564(98)10059-7
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发表时间:
1999-03-01
影响因子:
4.3
通讯作者:
Nåsell, I
Nåsell, I
中科院分区:
生物学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Nåsell, I

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在传播因子R-0位于确定性阈值1附近的过渡区域的复杂情况下,推导出随机Logistic流行病的准平稳分布的近似。在相同的参数范围内,给出了从准平稳性到灭绝的期望时间的近似值。(C)1999 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.
An approximation is derived for the quasi-stationary distribution of the stochastic logistic epidemic in the intricate case where the transmission factor R-0 lies in the transition region near the deterministic threshold value 1. An approximation for the expected time to extinction from quasi-stationarity in the same parameter region is also given. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.