Terrorism and the Fate of Dictators
Terrorism and the Fate of Dictators
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恐怖主义与独裁者的命运
DOI：
10.1017/s0043887115000118
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Joseph G Wright
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Deniz Aksoy;David B. Carter;Joseph G Wright
两位作者研究了国内政治异议和暴力对在位独裁者及其政权的影响。他们认为，当恐怖主义显著增加时，维护政权的精英会让独裁者承担责任。为了明确独裁者对那些对现政权有强烈投资的精英的责任，作者们在改组政变（改变领导人但保持政权完整）和政权更迭政变（完全改变政权顶层的精英）之间做出了一个新颖的理论区分。作者利用一组区分这两种政变类型的新数据，提供了强有力的证据，证明恐怖主义是改组政变的一致预测因素，而需要更广泛公众参与和支持的异见形式，如抗议和叛乱，与政权更迭政变有关。这篇文章是第一个表明在位的独裁者要为发生在他们眼皮底下的恐怖主义活动负责的文章。
The authors study the influence of domestic political dissent and violence on incumbent dictators and their regimes. They argue that elite with an interest in preserving the regime hold dictators accountable when there is a significant increase in terrorism. To pinpoint the accountability of dictators to elite who are strongly invested in the current regime, the authors make a novel theoretical distinction between reshuffling coups that change the leader but leave the regime intact and regime-change coups that completely change the set of elites atop the regime. Using a new data set that distinguishes between these two coup types, the authors provide robust evidence that terrorism is a consistent predictor of reshuffling coups, whereas forms of dissent that require broader public participation and support, such as protests and insurgencies, are associated with regime-change coup attempts. This article is the first to show that incumbent dictators are held accountable for terrorist campaigns that occur on their watch.
政治改革、机构改革。
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2003
期刊：
AERA Mook : Asahi Shimbun Extra Report & Analysis Special. 87
影响因子：
--
作者：
Takeuchi;大芝 亮;Jonathan Lewis;Sadafumi Kawato.
通讯作者：
Sadafumi Kawato.