Prospective analysis of technological innovation systems: Identifying technological and organizational development options for biogas in Switzerland
Prospective analysis of technological innovation systems: Identifying technological and organizational development options for biogas in Switzerland
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DOI：
10.1016/j.respol.2009.01.013
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发表时间：
2009-05
期刊：
影响因子：
7.2
通讯作者：
J. Markard;M. Stadelmann;B. Truffer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Markard;M. Stadelmann;B. Truffer
在本文中，我们提出了技术创新系统未来发展选项识别和分析的概念。我们方法的关键要素，即所谓的变异分析，是一种识别特定创新领域内连贯的社会技术和组织变异的方法。这两个维度的一致组合可以被解释为创新系统未来替代发展的核心。该方法可用于话语预见过程，为那些看到推进创新领域的效用的公司或政策制定者制定战略提供信息。本文的重点是发展该方法的理论背景和分析结构。我们通过实证来说明瑞士生物质消化创新系统的方法。
In this article, we put forward a concept for the identification and analysis of future development options of technological innovation systems. The key element of our approach, the so-called variation analysis, is a methodology to identify coherent socio-technical and organizational variants within a specific innovation field. Consistent combinations of these two dimensions may be interpreted as nuclei for alternative future developments of innovation systems. The method may be used in discursive foresight processes to inform strategy formulation of firms or policy makers who see a utility in furthering the innovation field. The paper has a focus on developing the theoretical background and the analytical structure of the methodology. Empirically, we illustrate the method for the innovation system of biomass digestion in Switzerland.