How safe were today's older drivers when they were younger?
How safe were today's older drivers when they were younger?
复制标题
如今的老司机年轻时的安全性如何？
DOI：
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发表时间：
1993
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
L. Evans
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
L. Evans
来自1975年至1990年致命事故报告系统的数据被用来对16年期间的汽车司机死亡率(每百万人口中的司机死亡率)进行纵向分析；例如，对出生于1960年的司机的死亡率进行了15年至30年的检查。研究发现，特定年龄的男性司机的死亡率随着出生年份的增加而有系统地下降；例如，1970年出生的20岁司机的死亡率低于1960年出生的20岁司机。男女司机群体的死亡率直到大约70岁才开始显著增加，然后到80岁时大约翻一番。这些增加的幅度较小，而且发生得较晚，而在早期的横断面分析中发现，这些分析发现了“老年司机问题”。
Data from the Fatal Accident Reporting System for 1975-1990 were used to perform longitudinal analyses of car driver fatality rates (driver fatalities per million population) for a 16-year period; for example, the fatality rate of drivers born in 1960 was examined for ages 15 years through 30 years. It was found that fatality rates for male drivers of a given age systematically decline with increasing birth year; for example, 20-year-olds born in 1970 have lower fatality rates than do 20-year-olds born in 1960. The fatality rates for cohorts of drivers of either sex do not begin to increase appreciably until about age 70 years, and then they approximately double by age 80 years. These increases are of a lesser magnitude, and occur later, than those found in the earlier cross-sectional analyses that identified the "older driver problem."