A New Conservative Cold Front? Democrat and Republican Responsiveness to the Passage of the Affordable Care Act
A New Conservative Cold Front? Democrat and Republican Responsiveness to the Passage of the Affordable Care Act
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新的保守派冷锋？
DOI：
10.15195/v2.a24
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发表时间：
2015
影响因子：
3.4
通讯作者：
Minhyoung Kang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Morgan;Minhyoung Kang
通过对2004年至2014年综合社会调查（GSS）的分析，本文表明，2010年通过的《平价医疗法案》（ACA）减少了民主党人、独立人士和共和党人对医疗支出的支持，这与美国选民中僵化的党派平衡的猜测相反。相反，目前只存在党派倾向，共和党人的支出偏好下降幅度大于民主党人，而无党派人士介于两者之间。通过对GSS面板数据的补充分析，以及对GSS关于国家支出偏好、政府责任和对领导人信心的其他项目的比较分析，本文也削弱了对另一种解释的支持，这种解释不能完全从可解释性中消除，即2010年出现并持续到2014年的已确定的时期效应是对大衰退及其导致的联邦政府赤字支出的回应。民意研究的影响进行了讨论，贷款支持当前的恒温器的影响和政策特定的政治情绪从政治学文献，这是由一个老的文学天气在舆论方面，起源于社会学文献。
Through an analysis of the 2004 through 2014 General Social Survey (GSS), this article demonstrates that the 2010 passage of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) decreased support for spending on health among Democrats, Independents, and Republicans, contrary to the conjecture that a rigid partisanship equilibrium has taken hold among voters in the United States. Instead, only a partisan deflection is present, with spending preferences declining more for Republicans than for Democrats, and with Independents in between. Through supplemental analysis of the GSS panel data, as well as comparative analysis of other GSS items on national spending preferences, government responsibility, and confidence in leaders, this article also undermines support for an alternative explanation that cannot be entirely eliminated from plausibility, which is that the identified period effect that emerged in 2010 and persisted through 2014 is a response to the Great Recession and resulting deficit spending by the federal government. Implications for public opinion research are discussed, lending support to current models of thermostat effects and policy-specific political mood from the political science literature, which are informed by an older literature on weather fronts in public opinion that originated in the sociology literature.
不受约束的党派：美国舆论的政治两极分化和趋势。
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.1010098
发表时间：
2008
期刊：
AJS; American journal of sociology
影响因子：
--
作者：
Baldassarri,Delia;Gelman,Andrew
通讯作者：
Gelman,Andrew