Microeconomic Estimates of Housing Depreciation
Microeconomic Estimates of Housing Depreciation
复制标题
住房折旧的微观经济估计
DOI:
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发表时间:
1987
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
T. Thibodeau
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Stephen Malpezzi;L. Ozanne;T. Thibodeau
Measuring economic depreciation in residential real estate is important for deepening our understanding of housing market behavior and for assessing a variety of public policies. Independent estimates of depreciation rates for many metropolitan areas provide a rich data base for analyzing the interaction between structure depreciation and, for example, suburbanization. Also, public policies such as rent control and tax incentives for construction could be better evaluated and designed with improved estimates of depreciation. For example, in an attempt to stimulate construction in 1981 Congress cut allowable depreciation for tax purposes from something like 30 years to 15 years. Then in 1986 in response to apparent over-building, Congress raised the depreciation rate back to 27.5 years. Better estimates of depreciation rates could have contributed to better targeting of incentives. A literature survey indicates significant variation in estimates of depreciation rates for residential real estate. The variation in reported results seems to be due to differences in the definition of depreciation employed, in the models and data used to estimate depreciation rates and, in some cases, the condition of the real estate market examined at the time of the study. A primary objective of this paper is to establish that rates of economic depreciation vary spatially. By using the same hedonic model and representative data from each of 59 metropolitan areas, we are able to eliminate differences in models and data as the only source of variation in estimated depreciation rates and attribute some of the observed variation to differences in housing markets. This paper reports estimates of metropolitan area specific rates of economic depreciation for residential real estate obtained using the hedonic pricing methodology. Separate h donic equations were estimated for owneroc upied and renter-occupied properties for each of 59 metropolitan areas. With the exception of variables that identified particular locations within the urban area, the same hedonic equation was used to estimate tenure spec f c depreciation rates. That is, the same hedonic specification was used for each of the 59 metropolitan areas to estimate depreciation rates for owner-occupied and for renteroccupied housing. We define economic depreciation "to be the decline in asset price (or shadow price) due to aging" (Hulten and Wykoff 1981, 85). Our hedonic equation for renter-occupied housing therefore examines how the current market price of the flow of (rental) housing services varies with dwelling age. Rents might be expected to change as the flow of housing services decreases as the unit deteriorates. The market value of owner-occupied residential real estate, on the other hand, reflects the present value of future housing services as well as current services. Hence, changes in any of the determinants of present value will have a significant impact on the current market value of owner-occupied housing.