Evidence on Job Search Models from a Survey of Unemployed Workers in Germany

Evidence on Job Search Models from a Survey of Unemployed Workers in Germany
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德国失业工人调查中关于求职模式的证据

DOI:
10.3386/w27037
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
NBER Working Paper Series
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Simon Trenkle
Simon Trenkle
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Stefano DellaVigna;Joerg Heining;Johannes F. Schmieder;Simon Trenkle

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失业保险 (UI) 领取者的工作找到率在失业的最初几个月会下降,然后在福利耗尽点出现峰值。人们提出了一系列的理论解释,但仅使用求职数据很难理清这些解释。为了更好地了解潜在机制,我们对德国失业工人进行了一项基于短信的大型调查。我们在 4 个月内每周两次对 6,800 名 UI 领取者进行了调查,了解他们的求职努力。小组结构使我们能够观察失业期间个人的搜索努力如何演变。我们提供了三个关键事实:1) 在 UI 周期的早期,搜索工作量持平;2) 搜索工作量在 UI 耗尽之前有所增加,此后有所减少;3) UI 接收者似乎没有将工作开始日期与 UI 耗尽点相一致。依赖参考的求职模型可以很好地解释这些事实,而具有未观察到的异质性的标准搜索模型则难以解释第二个事实。第三个事实也几乎没有留下可存储报价模型来解释飙升的空间。
The job finding rate of Unemployment Insurance (UI) recipients declines in the initial months of unemployment and then exhibits a spike at the benefit exhaustion point. A range of theoretical explanations have been proposed, but those are hard to disentangle using data on job finding alone. To better understand the underlying mechanisms, we conducted a large text-message-based survey of unemployed workers in Germany. We surveyed 6,800 UI recipients twice a week for 4 months about their job search effort. The panel structure allows us to observe how search effort evolves within individual over the unemployment spell. We provide three key facts: 1) search effort is flat early on in the UI spell, 2) search effort exhibits an increase up to UI exhaustion and a decrease thereafter, 3) UI recipients do not appear to time job start dates to coincide with the UI exhaustion point. A model of reference-dependent job search can explain these facts well, while a standard search model with unobserved heterogeneity struggles to explain the second fact. The third fact also leaves little room for a model of storable offers to explain the spike.
DOI: 10.1162/qjec.2007.122.4.1511
发表时间: 2007-11-01
影响因子: 13.7
作者:
Card, David;Chetty, Raj;Weber, Andrea
通讯作者: Weber, Andrea