Mapping Political Violence – The Approaches and Conceptual Challenges of Subnational Geospatial Analyses of Intrastate Conflict

Mapping Political Violence – The Approaches and Conceptual Challenges of Subnational Geospatial Analyses of Intrastate Conflict
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绘制政治暴力地图——州内冲突次国家地理空间分析的方法和概念挑战

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发表时间:
2012
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通讯作者:
Alexander de Juan
Alexander de Juan
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作者:
Alexander de Juan

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其基本原理是直截了当和有说服力的:国家内部冲突从定义上讲是国家以下的现象。如果我们想充分了解这些问题,明智的做法可能是将我们的注意力从国家一级转移到国家以下一级。暴力发生的地点可能会告诉我们为什么会发生暴力,以及暴力与各种政治、经济或社会因素有何联系。近年来,在国家以下一级进行的地理空间统计分析数量不断增加。尽管这些研究对和平与冲突研究做出了巨大贡献,但它们也带来了自己的挑战。最重要的是,他们往往没有充分考虑从传统的跨国分析转向国家以下一级分析的理论和概念影响;这导致了可疑的理论论点和结论。此外,操作和衡量问题往往限制了这些分析的解释力。本文回顾了几个暴力冲突的地理空间分析,指出了以前的研究的局限性,并提出了一些潜在的改进途径。
The rationale is straightforward and persuasive: intrastate conflicts are by definition subnational phenomena. If we want to understand them fully, it may be wise to refocus our attention from the country level to the subnational level. Where violence is located might inform us as to why it erupts and how it is linked to various political, economic or social factors. The number of statistical geospatial analyses undertaken at the subnational level has been increasing constantly in recent years. Even though such studies have contributed greatly to peace and conflict research, they have come with their own challenges. Most importantly, they often do not adequately consider the theoretical and conceptual implications of switching from conventional cross-country to subnational analysis; this has led to dubious theoretical arguments and conclusions. Moreover, operationalization and measurement issues often limit these analyses’ explanatory power. The paper reviews several geospatial analyses of violent conflict, points out the limitations of the previous research and proposes some potential avenues for improvement.