The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
复制标题
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.2390827
复制
发表时间：
2012-12
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Justin Pierce;Peter K. Schott
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Justin Pierce;Peter K. Schott
本文发现2001年开始的美国制造业就业急剧下降与美国贸易政策的变化之间存在联系，美国贸易政策的变化消除了对中国进口产品可能增加的关税。关税上调威胁降低幅度最大的行业，就业岗位流失更为严重，从中国进口的价值和参与中美贸易的企业数量也会大幅增加。贸易。这些结果对就业损失的其他潜在解释是强有力的，我们表明美国的就业趋势与欧盟不同，欧盟的政策没有变化。
This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment losses along with larger increases in the value of imports from China and the number of firms engaged in China-U.S. trade. These results are robust to other potential explanations of the employment loss, and we show that the U.S. employment trends differ from those in the EU, where there was no change in policy.