Happy Voters
Happy Voters
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快乐的选民
DOI：
10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.11.013
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
E. Proto
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Federica Liberini;Michela Redoano;E. Proto
回溯投票的经验模型主要采用标准的货币和金融指标来代表选民的效用，并解释选民的行为。我们发现，主观幸福感解释了投票意向的变化，超出了这些货币和金融指标所捕获的。例如，对生活满意的个人支持现任者的可能性增加1.6%;相比之下，家庭收入增加10%会导致个人对现任者的支持增加0.18%。我们使用差异中的差异分析，以确定选民的意图是如何受到负面冲击的福祉：配偶的死亡。经历配偶死亡的人比对照组中的人支持现任者的可能性低10%左右。即使民选官员的政策（医疗保健，社会福利）不能合理地归咎于死亡，结果仍然成立。
Empirical models of retrospective voting primarily employ standard monetary and financial indicators to proxy for voters' utility and to explain voters' behavior. We show that subjective well-being explains variation in voting intention that goes beyond what is captured by these monetary and financial indicators. For example, individuals who are satisfied with their life are 1.6% more likely to support the incumbent; by contrast, a 10% increase in family income leads to a 0.18% increase in an individual's support of the incumbent. We use difference-in-differences analysis to identify how voter intention is affected by a negative shock to well-being: the death of a spouse. Individuals who experience the death of a spouse are around 10% less likely than those in the control group to support the incumbent. The results hold even if elected officials' policies (health care, social welfare) cannot reasonably be blamed for the death.
女儿和左翼投票
影响因子：
8
作者：
Oswald A
通讯作者：
Oswald A