Statistical estimation of seismic hazard parameters: Maximum possible magnitude and related parameters

Statistical estimation of seismic hazard parameters: Maximum possible magnitude and related parameters
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地震危险性参数的统计估计:最大可能震级及相关参数

DOI:
10.1785/bssa0860030691
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发表时间:
1996
影响因子:
3
通讯作者:
T. V. Golubeva
T. V. Golubeva
中科院分区:
地球科学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
V. Pisarenko;A. Lyubushin;V. Lysenko;T. V. Golubeva

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考虑了地震危险性参数的统计估计问题。重点是估计最大区域震级Mmax和未来时间间隔T内的最大震级Mmax(T)及其分布的分位数。两个估计建议:一个无偏估计与最低可能的方差和贝叶斯估计。作为示例,这些方法被应用于估计Mmax和相关参数在加州和意大利。
The problem of statistical estimation of earthquake hazard parameters is considered. The emphasis is on estimation of the maximum regional magnitude, Mmax, and the maximum magnitude, Mmax(T), in a future time interval T and quantiles of its distribution. Two estimators are suggested: an unbiased estimator with the lowest possible variance and a Bayesian estimator. As an illustration, these methods are applied for the estimation of Mmax and related parameters in California and Italy.