Causes of Effects and Effects of Causes
Causes of Effects and Effects of Causes
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DOI：
10.1177/0049124114562614
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发表时间：
2015-02-01
影响因子：
6.3
通讯作者：
Pearl, Judea
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Pearl, Judea
本文总结了一个概念框架和简单的数学方法来估计概率，一个事件是另一个必要的原因，由立法者解释。我们表明，观测和实验数据的融合可以产生信息的界限，在某些情况下，满足法律的标准的因果关系。我们进一步调查的情况下，这种界限可以出现，并与确定从统计数据的个别情况下的哲学困境。
This article summarizes a conceptual framework and simple mathematical methods of estimating the probability that one event was a necessary cause of another, as interpreted by lawmakers. We show that the fusion of observational and experimental data can yield informative bounds that, under certain circumstances, meet legal criteria of causation. We further investigate the circumstances under which such bounds can emerge, and the philosophical dilemma associated with determining individual cases from statistical data.