A Dynamic Programming Model of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve

A Dynamic Programming Model of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve
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DOI:
10.2307/3003570
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发表时间:
1981
期刊:
The Bell Journal of Economics
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
T. Teisberg
T. Teisberg
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
T. Teisberg

文献摘要

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本文建立了一个随机动态规划模型,该模型可用于为美国石油储备获取最优的收购和销售策略。该模型纳入了配额或关税政策,这些政策可与储备政策结合使用。尽管主要关注的是美国的储备政策,但也考虑了联合消费国政策。分析表明,石油供应反应程度在确定储备政策的有效性方面具有重要意义。
This article develops a stochastic dynamic programming model which may be used to obtain optimal acquisition and sale strategies for the U.S. oil reserve. The model incorporates quota or tariff policies which may be used in conjunction with the stockpile policy. Although the main focus is on U.S. stockpile policy, a joint consumer country policy is also considered. The analysis indicates the importance of the degree of oil supply response in determining the effectiveness of a stockpile policy.