Influenza A (H7N9) and the importance of digital epidemiology.
Influenza A (H7N9) and the importance of digital epidemiology.
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DOI:
10.1056/nejmp1307752
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发表时间:
2013-08-01
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Brownstein JS
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Salathé M;Freifeld CC;Mekaru SR;Tomasulo AF;Brownstein JS
On March 31, 2013, Chinese health officials notified the World Health Organization of three cases of human infection with novel inf luenza A (H7N9). Since then, 132 people have been infected, 37 of them fatally (see figure, Panel A). To date, there is no evidence of ongoing human-to-human transmission. However, a number of characteristics of this virus are cause for heightened attention.First, the human population has not been exposed on a large scale to hemagglutinin 7 (H7) and neuraminidase 9 (N9) antigens in recent times and therefore most likely lacks immunity against this strain. Second, initial analyses of viral genome sequences suggest signs of adaptation to mammals—such as the ability to attach to respiratory tissue and to replicate at mammalian body temperatures1—which could facilitate human-to-human transmission. Third, because the virus has low pathogenicity in birds, its presence is difficult to detect in bird f locks by symptomatic surveillance alone. Testing of more than 20,000 people with inf luenza-like illness in China revealed only six cases of H7N9 infection, suggesting that there are not widespread mild cases of H7N9. 2