Quantitative precipitation forecasting in the Alps: The advances achieved by the Mesoscale Alpine Programme
Quantitative precipitation forecasting in the Alps: The advances achieved by the Mesoscale Alpine Programme
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DOI：
10.1002/qj.65
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发表时间：
2007-04
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
E. Richard;A. Buzzi;G. Zängl
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
E. Richard;A. Buzzi;G. Zängl
改进山区定量降水预报是专门研究地形降水的中尺度高山方案(MAP)项目P1的一个主要支助目标。本文回顾了与改进量化政策框架相关的主要成果，并强调了地图对开展量化政策框架研究和规划未来操作战略的影响。基于MAP个例研究、数据分析和同化、模式不确定性量化以及模式相互比较和验证的最新结果证实，近年来在改善模式在复杂地形区域的短期、高分辨率预报方面取得的进展，欧洲阿尔卑斯山就是很好的代表。版权所有(C)2007皇家气象学会
The improvement of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (QPF) in mountainous regions was a major supporting objective of the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP) project P1 devoted to the study of orographic precipitation. This paper reviews the main MAP‐related achievements regarding QPF improvement and highlights the MAP impact on developing QPF research and planning future operational strategies. Recent results based on MAP case‐studies, on data analysis and assimilation, on quantification of model uncertainties, and on model intercomparison and verification substantiate the progress made in recent years in improving model performance in relation to short‐range, high‐resolution forecasting in complex topography regions, well represented by the European Alps. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society