A model on the escape from the Malthusian trap
A model on the escape from the Malthusian trap
复制标题
逃离马尔萨斯陷阱的模型
DOI：
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发表时间：
1998
影响因子：
6.1
通讯作者：
G. Feichtinger
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
G. Steinmann;A. Prskawetz;G. Feichtinger
摘要。我们考虑一个民主经济模型，其中产出是使用物质资本、人力资本和技术作为投入来生产的。人力资本取决于经济中人口的数量和教育水平。劳动力、物质资本、教育和技术的动态是内在决定的，以反映经济和人口因素之间的相互依存关系。经济的长期发展道路，特别是摆脱马尔萨斯陷阱的可能性，在很大程度上取决于技术进步，这为整个经济的规模回报不断增加提供了条件。技术积累与人力资本存量呈正相关。我们的模型预测，正的人口增长足以摆脱马尔萨斯陷阱。
Abstract. We consider a demoeconomic model where output is produced using physical capital, human capital and technology as inputs. Human capital depends on the number of people and the level of education in the economy. The dynamics of labour, physical capital, education and technology are endogenously determined such as to reflect the interdependence between economic and demographic factors. The longrun path of the economy and in particular the possibility to escape the Malthusian trap crucially depend on technological progress, which provides for economy wide increasing returns to scale. The build up of technology is positively related to the stock of human capital. Our model predicts that positive population growth is sufficient to escape the Malthusian trap.