Advances in Space Weather Ensemble Forecasting
Advances in Space Weather Ensemble Forecasting
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空间天气集合预报的进展
DOI：
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发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. Knipp
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
D. Knipp
在许多与空间天气有关的会议上，我听说空间天气（SW）预报落后于地面天气预报几十年。有些人将这种滞后归因于缺乏空间环境观测。偶尔，我们的科学相对年轻，预测方法相应地缺乏成熟性。我们的科学永远是“年轻的科学”。尽管如此，我们的社区在后一类方面正在取得重大进展，特别是在"集合预报"方面。
At many space weather-related meetings I hear that space weather (SW) forecasting is several decades behind terrestrial weather forecasting. Some attribute the lag to the dearth of space environment observations. Occasionally, the relative youth of our science and the corresponding lack of sophistication in forecasting methodologies are mentioned. Ours will always be the “younger science.” Nonetheless, our community is making significant progress in the latter category, especially with respect to “ensemble forecasting.”