Prioritizing pharmacogenetic research: a value of information analysis of CYP2D6 testing to guide breast cancer treatment.
Prioritizing pharmacogenetic research: a value of information analysis of CYP2D6 testing to guide breast cancer treatment.
复制标题
优先考虑药物遗传学研究:CYP2D6 检测信息分析对指导乳腺癌治疗的价值。
DOI:
10.1016/j.jval.2011.05.048
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发表时间:
2011
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Hawkins,Neil
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Woods,Beth;Veenstra,David;Hawkins,Neil
ObjectivesTo demonstrate how value of information (VOI) analysis can be used to establish research priorities regarding the use of pharmacogenetic tests usingCYP2D6testing to select adjuvant hormonal therapy in early stage breast cancer as a case study.MethodsThe following four treatment pathways are compared in a Markov model: tamoxifen treatment;CYP2D6test and treat homozygous and heterozygous wild type patients (wt/wt; wt/*4) with tamoxifen and *4/*4 patients with anastrozole (HetTam);CYP2D6test and treat homozygous wild type patients with tamoxifen and others with anastrozole (HomTam); and anastrozole treatment. Pharmacogenetic testing efficacy is estimated by synthesizing randomized controlled trial data comparing tamoxifen to anastrozole with observational data linkingCYP2D6genotype to tamoxifen outcomes.ResultsIn order of increasing effectiveness the comparators are tamoxifen, HetTam, HomTam, anastrozole. Health outcomes for test and treatment strategies are highly uncertain. Differences in comparator costs depend on assumptions made regarding anastrozole patent expiry. The expected value of a decision taken with perfect information is £69 to £106 million (pound sterling) for the United Kingdom depending on patent expiry assumptions and the acceptable cost-effectiveness threshold. The most valuable research (VOI £53–£82 million) elucidates the relationship betweenCYP2D6genotype and tamoxifen effectiveness. It is uncertain whether values of other research designs would exceed their costs.ConclusionsRetrospective analysis of one of the large adjuvant aromatase inhibitor trials is warranted to better understand any association betweenCYP2D6genotype and tamoxifen outcomes. VOI approaches may be helpful for prioritising evidence needs and structuring coverage with evidence development agreements for pharmacogenetics.