Implications of climate change on Glacier de la Plaine Morte, Switzerland
Implications of climate change on Glacier de la Plaine Morte, Switzerland
复制标题
气候变化对瑞士拉普兰莫尔特冰川的影响
DOI：
10.5194/gh-68-227-2013
复制
发表时间：
2013
影响因子：
2.9
通讯作者：
M. Hoelzle
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Huss;A. Voinesco;M. Hoelzle
抽象的。瑞士气候的变化预计将对山区的冰川、水文状况和潜在自然灾害产生重大影响。莫特平原冰川是欧洲阿尔卑斯山最大的高原冰川，因此是研究大气变暖对阿尔卑斯山冰川快速和深远影响的特别有趣的地点。基于详细的野外观测并结合数值模拟，对20世纪50年代以来平原冰川总冰量的变化和现代冰川质量损失的动力学进行了评估。未来的冰川融化和冰川径流的变化是根据气候情景计算的，并讨论了平原荒漠周围冰川堰塞湖在未来几十年可能增加的自然灾害潜力。本文综合介绍了瑞士一座非凡冰川的过去、现在和未来的消退，并强调了气候变化对阿尔卑斯山冰川的影响。
Abstract. Changes in Switzerland's climate are expected to have major impacts on glaciers, the hydrological regime and the natural hazard potential in mountainous regions. Glacier de la Plaine Morte is the largest plateau glacier in the European Alps and thus represents a particularly interesting site for studying rapid and far-reaching effects of atmospheric warming on Alpine glaciers. Based on detailed field observations combined with numerical modelling, the changes in total ice volume of Glacier de la Plaine Morte since the 1950s and the dynamics of present glacier mass loss are assessed. Future ice melt and changes in glacier runoff are computed using climate scenarios, and a possible increase in the natural hazard potential of glacier-dammed lakes around Plaine Morte over the next decades is discussed. This article provides an integrative view of the past, current and future retreat of an extraordinary Swiss glacier and emphasizes the implications of climate change on Alpine glaciers.