The early socioeconomic effects of teenage childbearing: A propensity score matching approach
The early socioeconomic effects of teenage childbearing: A propensity score matching approach
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DOI：
10.4054/demres.2010.23.25
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发表时间：
2010-10-05
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Lee, Dohoon
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Lee, Dohoon
大量文献记录了青少年生育与青少年母亲的社会经济结果之间的负相关关系，但研究人员对于这种关联是否代表真正的因果效应仍存在分歧。本文通过采用倾向评分匹配和使用罗森鲍姆界限的敏感性分析来扩展现有文献。对国家青少年健康纵向研究最近队列数据的分析表明，(1) 青少年生育对早期社会经济结果具有适度但显着的负面影响，(2) 未观察到的协变量必须比已知的协变量更强大，才能使倾向得分匹配估计无效。作者最后建议应该进行更多研究来解决未观察到的异质性以及青少年生育对这一年轻群体的长期影响。
A large body of literature has documented a negative correlation between teenage childbearing and teen mothers' socioeconomic outcomes, yet researchers continue to disagree as to whether the association represents a true causal effect. This article extends the extant literature by employing propensity score matching with a sensitivity analysis using Rosenbaum bounds. The analysis of recent cohort data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health shows that (1) teenage childbearing has modest but significant negative effects on early socioeconomic outcomes and (2) unobserved covariates would have to be more powerful than known covariates to nullify the propensity score matching estimates. The author concludes by suggesting that more research should be done to address unobserved heterogeneity and the long-term effects of teenage childbearing for this young cohort.