Economic crisis, climate change and the future of welfare states
Economic crisis, climate change and the future of welfare states
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DOI：
10.1080/17450140903484049
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发表时间：
2010-02
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
I. Gough
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
I. Gough
本文讨论了西方福利国家在面临经济危机和气候变化压力这两个系统性挑战时的未来。它使用制度变迁的间断均衡框架来论证福利改革中的路径依赖以及危机驱动的转换点。第二部分认为，2008年的经济危机是前一个金融化资本主义时代的内生因素，它将引发长期的财政危机，尤其是在英国。第三部分认为，气候变化以及为应对气候变化而采取的必要缓解措施将对传统社会政策提出严峻的要求。它还威胁到富裕国家的进一步增长，从而破坏福利系统的可用资源。因此，经济危机使未来的增长变得不确定；气候变化使其变得不可取。结论是必须发展新的政治经济学分析，以促进经济和福利体系去商品化的激进第二阶段。
This article discusses the future(s) of Western welfare states in the face of two systemic challenges: the economic crisis and the pressures of climate change. It uses a punctuated equilibrium framework of institutional change to argue for path dependency in welfare reform alongside crisis-driven switching points. The second part argues that the economic crisis of 2008 was endogenous to the preceding era of financialised capitalism, and that it will generate a long-term fiscal crisis, notably in Britain. The third part contends that climate change, and the necessary mitigation measures taken to deal with it, will impose severe demands on traditional social policies. It also threatens further growth in rich countries which undermines the resources available for welfare systems. Thus, economic crisis makes future growth uncertain; climate change makes it undesirable. The conclusion is a new political economy analysis must be developed to promote a radical second stage of de-commodification of economies and welfare systems.