Economic Downturns and Hardline Public Opinion
Economic Downturns and Hardline Public Opinion
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经济衰退和强硬舆论
DOI：
10.1111/ssqu.12719
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发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
1.9
通讯作者：
Atsushi Tago
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Tetsuro Kobayashi;Dani Madrid‐Morales;Yuki Asaba;Atsushi Tago
目的本研究旨在将群体威胁理论的研究范围从种族群体间的国内紧张关系扩展到国际经济竞争中，具体考察了群体内国家的相对经济地位对与集团外竞争国家在有争议的政治问题上的态度的影响。方法进行了两个调查实验，这两个实验都操纵了日本人对日韩两国相对经济实力的认知。结果当日本人认为自己国家的经济实力相对于韩国经济实力正在下降时，他们在两国之间的领土和历史问题上表现出更强硬的态度。结论本研究证明了群体威胁理论在双边国际关系中的适用性。它还表明，关于国际冲突的公众舆论是经济实力长期再平衡的函数，这不容易受到短期政策的影响。
ObjectiveWith an aim of extending the scope of group threat theory from within‐country tensions between racial groups to international economic competition, this study specifically examined the impacts of perceived relative economic status of an in‐group country on attitudes about contentious political issues with a rival out‐group country.MethodsTwo survey experiments were administered, both of which manipulated Japanese participants’ perceptions of the relative economic powers of Japan and South Korea.ResultsWhen Japanese perceive that their country's economic power is declining relative to South Korea's economy, they demonstrate more hardline attitudes about territorial and historical issues between the two countries.ConclusionThis study demonstrates the applicability of group threat theory to bilateral international relations. It also suggests that public opinion about international conflicts is a function of the long‐term rebalancing of economic power, which cannot be easily influenced by short‐term policies.