Using complexity-consistent theory for evaluating complex systems

Using complexity-consistent theory for evaluating complex systems
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DOI:
10.1177/1356389012460963
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发表时间:
2012-10-01
期刊:
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
Westhorp, Gill
Westhorp, Gill
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Westhorp, Gill

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本文借鉴了评估方法论中的两个最新传统,一个基于复杂性理论,另一个基于现实主义科学哲学。有时被视为不相容的,它认为在这里,复杂性理论和现实主义的评价是“自然同床异梦”。由于它们的相似性和差异性,评价人员可以在同一评价中有效地利用这两种观点。这样做的一个方法是在选择和使用实质性理论时借鉴每个人的关键概念。本文介绍了“复杂性一致”的实质性理论的概念,并建议,这是有用的政策和计划在复杂适应系统的评估。它展示了如何从复杂性角度分析实质性理论,如何将多种理论“分层”以反映多层次的系统,以及如何在评价设计和分析中使用这些理论。
This article draws on two recent traditions in evaluation methodology, one grounded in complexity theory and the other in a realist philosophy of science. Sometimes seen as incompatible, it is argued here that complexity theory and realist evaluation are 'natural bedfellows'. Because of their similarities and differences, evaluators can usefully draw on both perspectives within the same evaluation. One way to do so is to draw on key concepts from each in the selection and use of substantive theory. The article introduces the concept of 'complexity-consistent' substantive theories and suggests that this is useful for the evaluation of policies and programs in complex adaptive systems. It demonstrates how substantive theories can be analysed in complexity terms, how multiple theories can be 'layered' to reflect multiple levels of systems, and how such theories can be used within evaluation design and analysis.