Prediction of Success or Failure for Final Examination using Nearest Neighbor Method to the Trend of Weekly Online Testing
Prediction of Success or Failure for Final Examination using Nearest Neighbor Method to the Trend of Weekly Online Testing
复制标题
利用最近邻法对周在线考试趋势预测期末考试成败
DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
H. Hirose
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
H. Hirose
利用在线测试项目反应理论中估计能力的趋势，我们可以预测每个学生在课程初期的期末考试的成功/失败状态。在预测中，我们应用了新发展的最近邻法来确定学习技能在估计能力趋势中的相似性，从而对成败有更好的预测精度。本文表明，结合能力趋势的学习分析方法的使用是有效的。ROC曲线和查全率曲线是辅助该方法的信息量。
Using the trends of estimated abilities in terms of item response theory for online testing, we can predict the success/failure status for the final examination to each student at early stages in courses. In prediction, we applied the newly developed nearest neighbor method for determining the similarity of learning skill in the trends of estimated abilities, resulting a better prediction accuracy for success or failure. This paper shows that the use of the learning analytics incorporating the trends for abilities is effective. ROC curve and recall precision curve are informative to assist the proposed method.