The nature of the beast: Organizational structures and the lethality of terrorist attacks

The nature of the beast: Organizational structures and the lethality of terrorist attacks
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DOI:
10.1017/s0022381608080419
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发表时间:
2008-04-01
影响因子:
3.1
通讯作者:
Rethemeyer, R. Karl
Rethemeyer, R. Karl
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Asal, Victor;Rethemeyer, R. Karl

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为什么有些恐怖组织比其他恐怖组织更致命?本文考察了组织特征,如意识形态、规模、年龄、国家赞助、联盟关系和对领土的控制,同时控制了可能影响杀伤力的因素,包括组织所在国家的政治制度和相对财富。利用来自预防恐怖主义纪念研究所的恐怖主义知识库(TKB)的数据,我们使用了组织杀伤力的负二项模型,发现组织规模、意识形态、领土控制和连通性是杀伤力的重要预测因素,而国家赞助、组织年龄和东道国特征则不是。
Why are some terrorist organizations so much more deadly then others? This article examines organizational characteristics such as ideology, size, age, state sponsorship, alliance connections, and control of territory while controlling for factors that may also influence lethality, including the political system and relative wealth of the country in which the organization is based. Using data from the Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism's Terrorism Knowledge Base (TKB), we use a negative binomial model of organizational lethality, finding that organizational size, ideology, territorial control, and connectedness are important predictors of lethality while state sponsorship, organizational age, and host country characteristics are not.