Not All Transitions Are Equal: The Relationship Between Effects on Passing Steps in a Sequential Process and Effects on the Final Outcome

Not All Transitions Are Equal: The Relationship Between Effects on Passing Steps in a Sequential Process and Effects on the Final Outcome
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并非所有转变都是平等的:对连续过程中的传递步骤的影响与对最终结果的影响之间的关系

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发表时间:
2017
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
M. Buis
M. Buis
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作者:
M. Buis

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这篇文章涉及一个模型,用于描述一系列事件,例如,教育通常是通过一系列从一个教育水平到下一个教育水平的过渡来实现的。特别是,这篇文章试图调和措施描述的变量对每个这些过渡的影响,与措施描述的影响,这个变量的最终结果的过程。这样的关系已经知道存在于一个序贯logit模型,但它几乎没有被用于实证研究,主要是因为缺乏一个实用的方法,给它一个实质性的解释。本文试图提供这样一种解释,表明对最终结果的影响是对每个过渡的影响的加权和,如果有更多的人面临通过过渡的风险,过渡会得到更大的权重,通过过渡更具差异化,人们从通过中获得更多。
This article deals with a model for describing a sequence of events, for example, education is typically attained by a set of transitions from one level of education to the next. In particular, this article tries to reconcile measures describing the effect of a variable on each of these transitions, with measures describing the effect of this variable on the final outcome of that process. Such a relationship has been known to exist within a sequential logit model, but it has hardly been used in empirical research mainly because of an absence of a practical way of giving it a substantive interpretation. This article tries to provide such an interpretation by showing that the effect on the final outcome is a weighted sum of the effects on each transition, such that a transition gets more weight if more people are at risk of passing that transition, passing the transition is more differentiating, and people gain more from passing.
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发表时间: 2011
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