An Archaeological Inference Problem
An Archaeological Inference Problem
复制标题
考古推理问题
DOI：
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发表时间：
1988
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
A. F. Smith
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. Naylor;A. F. Smith
摘要提出并分析了一个考古断代问题。分析是基于一个数据生成模型，它仔细考虑了各种不确定性，涉及观察到的放射性碳年代的文物连续的时间顺序开始和结束日期的重要考古阶段。除了作为多种此类考古数据的可能模型的内在兴趣之外，该模型还提出了一些具有挑战性的推理问题。最大似然技术似乎不足以完成任务，贝叶斯方法已被采用。
Abstract An archaeological dating problem is presented and analyzed. The analysis is based on a data-generating model, which takes careful account of the various kinds of uncertainty involved in relating observed radiocarbon dates of artifacts to successive chronological beginning and ending dates of significant archaeological phases. In addition to its intrinsic interest as a possible model for many kinds of archaeological data of this type, the model poses some challenging inference problems. Maximum likelihood techniques do not seem adequate to the task, and a Bayesian approach has been adopted.