RISK ANALYSIS AND RISK MANAGEMENT - AN HISTORICAL-PERSPECTIVE
RISK ANALYSIS AND RISK MANAGEMENT - AN HISTORICAL-PERSPECTIVE
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1539-6924.1985.tb00159.x
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发表时间：
1985-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.8
通讯作者：
MUMPOWER, J
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
COVELLO, VT;MUMPOWER, J
本文回顾了风险分析和风险管理的历史，特别强调了 20 世纪之前被忽视的时期。本文的总体目标是：(1) 抑制在非历史背景下看待当前风险担忧的普遍趋势； (2) 阐明当前风险思考的思想渊源； (3) 阐明当代关于风险分析和社会风险管理的观念与过去有何显着不同； (4) 为预测风险分析和管理的未来方向提供基础。
This paper reviews the history of risk analysis and risk management, giving special emphasis to the neglected period prior to the 20th century. The overall objective of the paper is to: (1) dampen the prevailing tendency to view present‐day concerns about risk in an ahistorical context; (2) shed light on the intellectual antecedents of current thinking about risk; (3) clarify how contemporary ideas about risk analysis and societal risk management differ significantly from the past; and (4) provide a basis for anticipating future directions in risk analysis and management.