The economic potential of bagasse cogeneration as CDM projects in Indonesia

The economic potential of bagasse cogeneration as CDM projects in Indonesia
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印度尼西亚甘蔗渣热电联产作为 CDM 项目的经济潜力

DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2007.01.014
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发表时间:
2007
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
A. Michaelowa
A. Michaelowa
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Dewi Restuti;A. Michaelowa

文献摘要

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印尼米尔斯糖厂剩余甘蔗渣具有清洁发展机制(CDM)下并网发电项目的潜力。此外,它还被认为在很大程度上支持解决国内制糖业和发电部门普遍存在的危机的努力。本文旨在分析印尼甘蔗渣热电联产作为CDM项目的经济潜力,主要成果是每年的总减排量和核证减排量(CER)收益。分析采用了适用的方法,并以网站上官方和其他来源的公开数据为基础。结果表明,在电力替代潜力为260,253 MWh的情况下,印度尼西亚每年可从最近采用的低效率热电联产中产生高达240,774(大规模)或198,177 tCO 2(小规模)的温室气体(GHG)减排量,分别产生约136万美元或112万美元的收益。在项目活动产生的电力可以并网的6个区域电网中,爪哇-巴厘岛和南苏门答腊电网具有主要的减排潜力。此外,技术、体制、资金和其他方面的各种障碍被认为是通过额外性测试的理由。
Surplus bagasse in Indonesian sugar mills is potential for grid-connected electricity-generating projects under Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) scheme. In addition, it is further perceived to considerably support the efforts to address prevailing crises in domestic sugar industry and power generation sector. This paper aims at analyzing the economic potential of bagasse cogeneration as CDM projects in Indonesia with the main deliverables of total emission reductions per year and Certified Emission Reduction (CER) earnings. The analysis was made by following the applicable methodologies and based on publicly available data from official and other sources on the websites. The results show that with the electricity displacement potential at 260,253MWh, Indonesia could generate Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reductions as much as 240,774 (large scale) or 198,177tCO2(small scale) per annum from the recently-employed low efficiency cogeneration leading to the earnings of about US$1.36 or 1.12 million, respectively. Out of 6 regional grids where the electricity from the project activities can be grid-connected, the primary emission reductions potentials are encountered in Java-Bali and Southern Sumatera grids. Additionally, various barriers in technical, institutional, financial, and other aspects have been identified as the justifications to pass the additionality test.