Challenges and Opportunities Associated with Lifting the Zero COVID-19 Policy in China.
Challenges and Opportunities Associated with Lifting the Zero COVID-19 Policy in China.
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DOI：
10.14218/erhm.2023.00002
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发表时间：
2024-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Zhang, Lanjing
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Hu, Kun;Zhang, Lanjing
2022年12月，中国政府取消了“新冠肺炎零化”政策。政策变化后，预计新发病例和死亡病例分别为167-2.79亿例(约占中国人口的12.0%-20.1%)和680万-210万例。最近的数据还显示，中国的生育率持续下降，国内生产总值增速创历史新低。因此，平衡新冠肺炎的控制和中国的经济复苏是至关重要的，但也是非常困难的。供应链中断、基本服务减少和重症监护病房短缺已被讨论为与取消“零新冠肺炎”政策相关的挑战。其他挑战可能包括新冠肺炎、呼吸道合胞病毒和流感的三重流行，医疗保健提供者、照顾者和患者的心理健康问题，对人类流动性的影响，缺乏强大的基因组和流行病学数据，以及新冠肺炎过长。然而，与政策相关的机会和其他挑战基本上没有受到影响，但值得政策制定者、医疗保健提供者、公共卫生官员和其他利益攸关方关注并迅速做出反应。随之而来的好处是快速获得群体免疫，促进经济和商业活动，增加社会活动。此时此刻，我们必须拥抱政策变化，有效缓解其相关问题，并及时有效地实现其相关利益的最大化。
Chinese government lifted its "Zero COVID-19" policy in December 2022. The estimated COVDI-19 new cases and deaths after the policy change are 167-279 million (about 12.0% to 20.1% of the Chinese population) and 0.68-2.1 million, respectively. Recent data also revealed continuous drops in fertility rate and historically lowest growth in gross domestic production in China. Thus, balancing COVID-19 control and economic recovery in China is of paramount importance yet very difficult. Supply chain disruption, essential service reduction and shortage of intensive care units have been discussed as the challenges associated with lifting "Zero COVID-19" policy. The additional challenges may include triple epidemic of COVID-19, respiratory syncytial virus and influenza, mental health issues of healthcare providers, care givers and patients, impact on human mobility, lack of robust genomic and epidemiological data and long COVID-19. However, the policy-associated opportunities and other challenges are largely untouched, but warrant attention of and prompt reactions by the policy makers, healthcare providers, public health officials and other stakeholders. The associated benefits are quick reach of herd immunity, boost of economy and businesses activities and increase in social activities. At this moment, we must embrace the policy change, effectively mitigate its associated problems and timely and effectively maximize its associated benefits.