U.K. Foot and Mouth Disease: A Systemic Risk Assessment of Existing Controls
U.K. Foot and Mouth Disease: A Systemic Risk Assessment of Existing Controls
复制标题
英国口蹄疫:对现有控制措施的系统风险评估
DOI:
10.1111/risa.12704
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发表时间:
2016
期刊:
影响因子:
3.8
通讯作者:
Delgado J
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Delgado J
This article details a systemic analysis of the controls in place and possible interventions available to further reduce the risk of a foot and mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in the United Kingdom. Using a research‐based network analysis tool, we identify vulnerabilities within the multibarrier control system and their corresponding critical control points (CCPs). CCPs represent opportunities for active intervention that produce the greatest improvement to United Kingdom's resilience to future FMD outbreaks. Using an adapted ‘features, events, and processes’ (FEPs) methodology and network analysis, our results suggest that movements of animals and goods associated with legal activities significantly influence the system's behavior due to their higher frequency and ability to combine and create scenarios of exposure similar in origin to the U.K. FMD outbreaks of 1967/8 and 2001. The systemic risk assessment highlights areas outside of disease control that are relevant to disease spread. Further, it proves to be a powerful tool for demonstrating the need for implementing disease controls that have not previously been part of the system.
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DOI:
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发表时间:
2011
期刊:
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
影响因子:
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作者:
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2009
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