The Influence of Employment Uncertainty on Childbearing in France: A Tempo or Quantum Effect?
The Influence of Employment Uncertainty on Childbearing in France: A Tempo or Quantum Effect?
复制标题
就业不确定性对法国生育的影响：节奏效应还是量子效应？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Anne Solaz
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Ariane Pailhé;Anne Solaz
本文研究了失业和不安全的就业期是否仅仅延迟生育率或影响法国的完成生育率。它分析了第一次生育的时间和40岁时达到的生育率。使用了不同的就业保障下降指标，即当前的个人就业特点、不稳定工作的积累和就业不确定性的总体指标。男性失业对第一次生育的时间有负面影响，而就业不稳定的时期推迟了妇女的生育。只有面临长期失业的男子的完整生育率才受到失业期的影响。因此，在法国，就业不确定性往往会推迟第一次生育，但对终身生育率的影响相对较弱。慷慨的失业保险制度以及法国两个孩子家庭的普遍性，可以解释为什么经济不确定性对生育率的影响比其他地方要小。
This paper investigates whether unemployment and insecure employment periods merely delay fertility or also impact on completed fertility in France. It analyses both the timing of first childbearing and the fertility reached at age 40. Different indicators of declining employment security are used, i.e. current individual employment characteristics, the accumulation of unstable jobs, and aggregate-level indicators of employment uncertainty. Male unemployment has a negative influence on the timing of first childbearing, while periods of insecure employment delay fertility for women. Completed fertility is impacted by unemployment spells only for men who have faced long-term unemployment. Employment uncertainty thus tends to delay first parenthood but has a relatively weak effect on lifetime fertility in France. Generous state support to families associated with a generous unemployment insurance system, and the strong French two-child family norm may explain why economic uncertainty affects fertility less than elsewhere.