Data analysis and modeling to support policy decisions in environmental, transportation, and energy systems
Data analysis and modeling to support policy decisions in environmental, transportation, and energy systems
复制标题
数据分析和建模支持环境、交通和能源系统的政策决策
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2016
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
I. Linkov
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Zachary A. Collier;J. Lambert;I. Linkov
本期《环境系统与决策》是我们出版的第16期，标志着我们出版第四年的里程碑。在这4年中，发表了超过2000页的高质量研究，涉及各种主题，包括能源、环境、交通、纳米技术、人类健康、气候变化和网络安全，涵盖了决策分析、系统工程、风险分析、生态学、公共政策、经济学、金融学、数据科学和心理学等学术学科。本期涉及的主题大致相同--本期的应用领域从气候和交通系统的建模到关于科学外交和参与性决策工具的讨论。特别是，本期中的许多论文都侧重于使用数据和建模技术为决策提供信息，例如大规模车队管理、垃圾填埋设施的选址或减少热浪在城市环境中的不利影响的干预措施。这一问题以Linkov等人的一篇观点文章开始。(2016)考察科研与国际外交的交汇点。这篇文章探讨了科学界和外交界之间国际合作的好处和方法，受到几位合著者的经验的启发。Azmi和Tokai(2016)描述了一个为评估马来西亚乘用车产生的二氧化碳排放和其他污染物而建立的模型。作者使用这些估计来比较减少温室气体排放方面的车队管理政策。接下来，Hanine等人。(2016)开发了一个基于政治、环境、经济和社会因素的垃圾填埋场选址决策模型，使用模糊多准则方法。Macnee和Tokai(2016)结合统计和地理空间分析，利用主成分分析确定了热浪易损性的主要来源，并基于这些结果构建了加权热浪易损性指数。使用地理空间工具将该索引绘制到日本大阪市的各区。Singh(2016)进行了航空专家的一系列调查，以确定对航空运输温室气体减排的看法。使用结构方程模型发现，飞机技术和设计以及航空业务具有最大的减排潜力。Skalski等人。(2016)描述了对各种鱼类的监管测试要求，其中一定数量的鱼通过堤坝必须存活下来。提出了一套标准来评估这些生存依从性测试的质量。最后，Masuhara等人。(2016)在日本关于环境、能源和食品政策决策的25个案例研究中，比较和对比了参与式决策方法的要素。即将出版的《环境系统与决策》特刊包括由编辑委员会成员Thomas Seager博士编辑的2016年可持续系统与技术国际研讨会(ISSST)的会议记录，以及由编辑委员会成员Robyn Wilson博士和Joe Arvai博士编辑的突出当前和最近学生的研究的特刊。此外，12月还将在风险分析协会年会上召开编辑委员会会议&伊戈尔·林科夫·伊戈尔.林科夫@usace.army.mil
This issue of Environment Systems & Decisions, our sixteenth published issue, marks the milestone of our fourth year of publication. In these 4 years, over 2000 pages of high-quality research have been published on a variety of topics including energy, environment, transportation, nanotechnology, human health, climate change, and cyber security, covering academic disciplines such as decision analysis, systems engineering, risk analysis, ecology, public policy, economics, finance, data science, and psychology. This issue covers much of the same topics—application domains in this issue range from modeling of climate and transportation systems to discussions on science diplomacy and participatory decision-making tools. In particular, many of the papers in this issue focus on using data and modeling techniques to inform policy decisions such as large-scale vehicle fleet management, site selection of landfill facilities, or interventions to reduce the adverse impacts of heat waves in urban environments. The issue opens with a perspectives article by Linkov et al. (2016) examining the intersection of scientific research and international diplomacy. The article explores the benefits and methods for international collaboration between the scientific and diplomatic communities, spurred by the experiences of several of the coauthors. Azmi and Tokai (2016) described a model built to assess the carbon dioxide emissions and other pollutants produced from Malaysia’s passenger vehicles. The authors use these estimates to compare fleet management policies in terms of greenhouse gas reductions. Next, Hanine et al. (2016) developed a decision model for selecting landfill sites based on political, environmental, economic, and social factors, using fuzzy multicriteria methods. Combining statistical and geospatial analysis, MacNee and Tokai (2016) identified the main sources of vulnerability to heat waves using principle component analysis and constructed a weighted heat wave vulnerability index based on these results. This index was mapped onto the districts of Osaka City, Japan, using geospatial tools. Singh (2016) performed a series of surveys from aviation experts to identify perceptions of greenhouse gas emission reduction for air transportation. Using structural equation modeling, it was found that aircraft technology and design as well as aviation operations held the largest potential for emission reductions. Skalski et al. (2016) described the regulatory testing requirements for various fish species, where certain amounts of fish passing through dams must survive. A set of criteria is proposed in which to assess the quality of these survival compliance tests. Finally, Masuhara et al. (2016) compared and contrasted elements of participatory decision-making methods across twenty-five case studies in Japan concerning environmental, energy, and food policy decisions. Upcoming special issues of Environment Systems & Decisions include proceedings from the 2016 International Symposium on Sustainable Systems and Technology (ISSST) edited by Editorial Board member Dr. Thomas Seager, and a special issue highlighting the research of current and recent students, edited by Editorial Board members Dr. Robyn Wilson and Dr. Joe Arvai. Additionally, there will be an Editorial Board meeting held in December at the Society for Risk Analysis Annual & Igor Linkov Igor.Linkov@usace.army.mil