REFORMS AS EXPERIMENTS
REFORMS AS EXPERIMENTS
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DOI：
10.1037/h0027982
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发表时间：
1969-01-01
影响因子：
16.4
通讯作者：
CAMPBELL, DT
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
CAMPBELL, DT
认为社会改革方案没有得到有效评估。这篇文章是一个初步的努力，在检查这种情况的来源和设计克服困难的方法。方案评估的政治背景也被考虑。本文的结论是，对改革的冷静分析并没有威胁到被困的和实验性的管理者。为此，适当的行政决策可以为有用的实验或准实验分析奠定基础。通过彩票分配稀缺资源的思想，通过使用阶段性创新，并通过试点项目，可以实现随机分配对照组的真正实验。如果必须全面推行改革，则可以采用间断时间序列设计。如果有类似的单位在独立管理下，控制系列设计增加了力量。如果一个稀缺的布恩必须给予最需要或最值得的人，量化这种需要或优点使得回归不连续性分析成为可能。“（参考文献48）（PsycInfo数据库记录（c）2016阿帕，保留所有权利）
Contends that programs of social reform are not effectively assessed. This article is a preliminary effort in examining the sources of this condition and designing ways of overcoming the difficulties. The political setting of program evaluation is also considered. It is concluded that trapped and experimental administrators are not threatened by a hard-headed analysis of the reform. For such, proper administrative decisions can lay the base for useful experimental or quasi-experimental analyses. Through the ideology of allocating scarce resources by lottery, through the use of staged innovation, and through the pilot project, true experiments with randomly assigned control groups can be achieved. If the reform must be introduced across the board, the interrupted time-series design is available. If there are similar units under independent administration, a control series design adds strength. If a scarce boon must be given to the most needy or to the most deserving, quantifying this need or merit makes possible the regression discontinuity analysis."(48 ref.)(PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2016 APA, all rights reserved)