Generalized Optimal Hedge Ratio Estimation

Generalized Optimal Hedge Ratio Estimation
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DOI:
10.2307/1242663
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发表时间:
1988-06
影响因子:
4.2
通讯作者:
R. Myers;S. Thompson
R. Myers;S. Thompson
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
R. Myers;S. Thompson

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提出了一种估计期货市场最优套期保值比率的广义方法。广义方法并不难应用,并提供了一个框架,用于评估传统的简单回归方法的适当性,以最佳套期保值比率估计。在玉米、大豆和小麦的仓储套期保值应用中,发现使用价格水平或收益的简单回归会导致最优套期保值比率估计的错误,但使用价格变化的简单回归提供了相当准确的估计。
A generalized approach to estimating optimal hedge ratios on futures markets is developed. The generalized approach is not difficult to apply and provides a framework for evaluating the appropriateness of conventional simple regression approaches to optimal hedge ratio estimation. In an application to storage hedging of corn, soybeans, and wheat, it is found that simple regression using price levels or returns leads to errors in optimal hedge ratio estimation but that simple regression using price changes provides reasonably accurate estimates.