CHANGING KINSHIP STRUCTURE AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR OLD-AGE SUPPORT IN URBAN AND RURAL CHINA
CHANGING KINSHIP STRUCTURE AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR OLD-AGE SUPPORT IN URBAN AND RURAL CHINA
复制标题
DOI：
10.1080/0032472031000148286
复制
发表时间：
1995-03-01
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
JIANG, L
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
JIANG, L
本研究通过模拟中国不断演变的家庭和亲属结构，探索了中国即将到来的人口老龄化在家庭和亲属关系层面上的后果。这类模拟的结果表明，赡养年迈父母的负担可能会大幅增加，到2030年，城市家庭将翻两番，农村家庭将翻一番，届时中国所在的婴儿潮一代将进入老年。如此大幅度的增长表明，仅靠家庭不太可能满足迅速增长的老年人口的需求。迫切需要公共援助，特别是向农村家庭提供援助，以确保家庭不会因养老负担而不堪重负。这项研究的结果还指出了在老年人口中开发资源以弥补子女赡养损失的潜力。鉴于他们的健康状况有所改善，年轻的老年人可以在照顾年长和体弱的老年人方面提供实质性的帮助。
This study explores the ramifications of China's imminent population ageing at the family and kinship level - by simulating China's evolving family and kinship structure. Results from such simulations suggest that the burden of supporting old parents is likely to increase tremendously, quadrupling for urban families and doubling for rural families by the year 2030, when China's baby-boomers will enter their old age. Increases of such magnitudes suggest that family alone is unlikely to be able to meet the demands of the rapidly increasing elderly population. Public assistance, especially to rural families, is urgently needed to ensure that the family will not be overstrained by the burden of old age support. The results of this study also point out the potential of tapping the resources among the elderly population to compensate for the loss in support from children. Given their improved health status, the young elderly could provide substantial assistance in caring for the older and more frail elderly.