Towards Validating a Model of Households and Societies in East Africa
Towards Validating a Model of Households and Societies in East Africa
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验证东非家庭和社会模型
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
C. Cioffi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
W. Kennedy;C. Cotla;Tim Gulden;M. Coletti;C. Cioffi
社会模拟的主要挑战之一是模型的验证。在对社会进行建模时，实验是不切实际或不符合道德的，模型的验证本质上是困难的。然而，基于代理的建模（ABM）方法的一个重要优势是，它开始与相对较低级别的代理的行为理论的实施，然后产生高层次的行为出现从低层次的理论的实施。我们的ABM社会模型是基于对东非维多利亚湖周围1,600公里（1,000英里）的农村家庭的决策建模。我们报告的第一个验证我们的家庭模型，使他们的生活在日常的基础上，通过比较人类学家收集的社会数据的活动。
One of the major challenges of social simulations is the validation of the models. When modeling societies, where experimentation is not practical or ethical, validation of models is inherently difficult. However, one of the significant strengths of the agent-based modeling (ABM) approach is that it begins with the implementation of a theory of behavior for relatively low-level agents and then produces high-level behaviors emerging from the low-level theory’s implementation. Our ABM model of societies is based on modeling the decision making of rural households in a 1,600 km (1,000 mile) square around Lake Victoria in East Africa. We report on the first validation of our model of households making their living on a daily basis by comparing resulting activities against societal data collected by anthropologists.