Implications of Heterogeneous Biting Exposure and Animal Hosts on Trypanosomiasis brucei gambiense Transmission and Control.
Implications of Heterogeneous Biting Exposure and Animal Hosts on Trypanosomiasis brucei gambiense Transmission and Control.
复制标题
异质叮咬暴露和动物宿主对布氏冈比亚锥虫病传播和控制的影响。
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004514
复制
发表时间:
2015-10
影响因子:
4.3
通讯作者:
Chitnis N
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Stone CM;Chitnis N
The gambiense form of sleeping sickness is a neglected tropical disease, which is presumed to be anthroponotic. However, the parasite persists in human populations at levels of considerable rarity and as such the existence of animal reservoirs has been posited. Clarifying the impact of animal host reservoirs on the feasibility of interrupting sleeping sickness transmission through interventions is a matter of urgency. We developed a mathematical model allowing for heterogeneous exposure of humans to tsetse, with animal populations that differed in their ability to transmit infections, to investigate the effectiveness of two established techniques, screening and treatment of at-risk populations, and vector control. Importantly, under both assumptions, an integrated approach of human screening and vector control was supported in high transmission areas. However, increasing the intensity of vector control was more likely to eliminate transmission, while increasing the intensity of human screening reduced the time to elimination. Non-human animal hosts played important, but different roles in HAT transmission, depending on whether or not they contributed as reservoirs. If they did not serve as reservoirs, sensitivity analyses suggested their attractiveness may instead function as a sink for tsetse bites. These outcomes highlight the importance of understanding the ecological and environmental context of sleeping sickness in optimizing integrated interventions, particularly for moderate and low transmission intensity settings. Sleeping sickness, a disease that strikes predominantly poor populations in sub-Saharan Africa, has been targeted for elimination as a public health problem. Despite decades of control operations the disease remains enigmatic and is capable of persisting in populations at low levels of prevalence. Two mechanisms are investigated here that could allow persistence at such levels. Heterogeneous exposure of humans to tsetse is modelled as a subset of humans commuting to areas of high vectorial capacity. Additionally, non-human animals may act as reservoir species. We developed, parameterized, and investigated a model of sleeping sickness transmission to gain insight into the impact of these assumptions on the prospects of elimination using screening and treatment of humans and vector control. Supplemental use of vector control increased the probability of elimination and decreased the duration until elimination was achieved. This was more pronounced when animals did contribute to transmission, or when coverage and compliance of humans with screening operations was lower, for instance due to an inability to reach the humans at greatest risk of exposure. These results can provide insights to public health officials as to when to consider supplementing human treatment with additional measures, and thereby improve the prospects of elimination of this disease.