The CPS After the Redesign: Refocusing the Economic Lens
The CPS After the Redesign: Refocusing the Economic Lens
复制标题
重新设计后的 CPS：重新聚焦经济镜头
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Stephen Miller
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Anne E. Polivka;Stephen Miller
本文的观点仅代表作者的观点，并不代表劳工统计局的官方政策2重新设计后的CPS：重新聚焦经济镜头当前人口调查(CPS)是有关美国劳动力市场的主要信息来源。除了提供失业和就业的月度估计数字外，经济学家、社会学家和政策分析师还使用CPS的数据来研究一段时间内经济活动的广泛社会和周期性变化。例如，CPS的数据被用来调查男性，特别是老年男性就业率的下降(例如，在1994年1月，CPS在问卷的措辞和收集数据的方法上都进行了重大的重新设计。重新设计的目的是提高质量和扩大现有数据的数量。然而，重新设计也导致对来自CPS的许多估计数的衡量发生了变化。本文件的主要目的是估计从中央结算制度得出的各种综合措施的调整因数，以便对重新设计前后的估计数进行比较。此外，将分析这些调整因素，以评估重新设计对从CPS得出的一些关键结论的影响。1本文件的其余部分结构如下。第一部分简要总结了CPS重新设计的原因。第二部分介绍了数据，并讨论了实证分析中使用的方法的动机。第三部分为实证模型。第四节介绍了估计的调整因数，并讨论了估计变化的可能原因和所涉问题。文章最后对重新设计的结果和影响进行了简要的总结。1本文件中提出的估计数仅用于帮助历史上使用CPS的个人。劳工统计局不会修正之前公布的官方预估。重新设计的CPS是劳工统计局(BLS)和人口普查局(BC)长达8年的大规模合作努力的结果。改变CPS的动力是四倍的。首先，有迹象表明，《公约》中的一些概念和措辞正在过时。对《公约》措辞的最后一次重大修订发生在1967年。从那时起，…
The views in this paper are those of the authors, and do not represent official BLS policy 2 The CPS After the Redesign: Refocusing the Economic Lens The Current Population Survey (CPS) is a major source of information about the American labor market. In addition to providing monthly estimates of unemployment and employment, economists, sociologists and policy analysts use data from the CPS to examine broad societal and cyclical changes in economic activity over time. For example, data from the CPS have been used to investigate the declining rate of employment among men, especially older men (e. In January 1994, the CPS underwent a major redesign both in the wording of the questionnaire and the methodology used to collect the data. The objective of the redesign was to improve the quality and expand the quantity of available data. However, the redesign also caused changes in the measurement of many of the estimates derived from the CPS. The major purpose of this paper is to estimate adjustment factors for various aggregate measures derived from the CPS in order to permit comparisons of estimates before and after the redesign. In addition, these adjustment factors will be analyzed to assess the impact of the redesign on some of the key conclusions drawn from the CPS. 1 The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. The first section briefly summarizes the reasons for the CPS redesign. The second section contains a description of the data and a discussion of the motivation for the methodology used in the empirical analysis. The third section presents the empirical model. The estimated adjustment factors, along with a discussion of possible causes and implications of the estimated changes, are presented in the fourth section. The paper concludes with a brief summary of the results and implications of the redesign. 1 The estimates presented in this paper are being provided only to aid individuals who use the CPS historically. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will not revise previously published official estimates. The redesigned CPS was the culmination of a massive 8 year collaborative effort between the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of the Census (BC). The impetus for changing the CPS was fourfold. First, there were indications that some of the concepts and wording in the CPS were becoming dated. The last major revision to the wording of the CPS occurred in 1967. Since that time …