Representing theories of change: technical challenges with evaluation consequences
Representing theories of change: technical challenges with evaluation consequences
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DOI：
10.1080/19439342.2018.1526202
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发表时间：
2018-01-01
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Davies, Rick
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Davies, Rick
本文着眼于技术问题与代表性的理论变化和设计选择的影响，这些理论的可评估性。重点是描述事件之间的联系，而不是事件本身，因为这被视为一个普遍的设计弱点。使用的例子和证据，从互联网上的来源，六个结构性的问题描述沿着与他们的后果进行评估。然后，本文概述了方案设计者、执行者和评价者可采用的解决这些问题的各种不同方法。本文最后谨慎地推测了为什么设计问题如此普遍，但也指出了前进的方向。CEDIL和DFID确定了四个方面的工作，可以投资于制定文件中确定的解决方案。
This paper looks at the technical issues associated with the representation of Theories of Change and the implications of design choices for the evaluability of those theories. The focus is on the description of connections between events rather than the events themselves, because this is seen as a widespread design weakness. Using examples and evidence from Internet sources six structural problems are described along with their consequences for evaluation. The paper then outlines a range of different ways of addressing these problems that could be used by programme designers, implementers and evaluators. The paper concludes with some caution speculating on why the design problems are so endemic but also pointing a way forward. Four strands of work are identified that CEDIL and DFID could invest in to develop solutions identified in the paper.